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Archive for April, 2010

Mindless Time Clouded by Dust & Noise

Thursday, April 29th, 2010

Over the past week, I’ve been playing farmer. Actually that connotation seems quite appropriate in today’s agrinomic landscape of 4-wheel drive tractors, triple stack genetics, and behemoth farms. Yes, it is quite different than when I was growing up in Northern Illinois during my youth. A lot has changed and continues to change.

During my brief stay, I was navigating equipment that wasn’t quite primetime. Despite long hours following a line etched into the dirt, I find its always a wonderful time of mindless wondering. It does give a person time to think. I started to think of the many parallels between farming and business. Here are few things that surfaced - and which actually made sense.

  1. Predictability: Farmers every year start the year with many unknowns, especially weather. Rain or drought. Hot or cold. Late spring or maybe an early frost. Everything evolves and revolves around that little thing referred to as weather. To prepare, farmers must be ready and able to adapt and change their plans on the go - taking what mother nature gives them and then figuring out how to leverage whatever they’re given to their advantage. Business Lesson: Every business is exposed to factors outside of their control - be prepared and ready to deal with them by adapting on the go.
  2. Relations and Inputs: Most farmers value and leverage the relations and knowledge of their suppliers and consultants. These are the individuals that help keep their production costs low and maximize their outputs/revenues. Variabilities across the enterprise such as soil type, location (growing degree days that can be expected), climate are considered. And of course, geographical connections to buyers, whether that be an elevator down the road, an ethonol plant 50miles away, or a niche market. Business Lesson: A business should never become an island unto itself - leverage your internal and external resources to your advantage.
  3. Wandering Around & Scouting: Once the crops are in, farmers tend to be vigilant about wandering around in thieir fields and scouting their crops. They might be checking how the crop is growing, but also on the lookout for pests (bugs), disease and weeds that might might be impacting the field. Once a threat is identified, an assessment is completed - a recommendation is made. This might involve a treatment regiment, or just further assessment. At all times,  a cost - benefit analysis is made. Business Lesson: Wandering around and scouting is highly important in agriculture and in business. This is where a business learns what is really going on, and what can be improved.

These are just a few of the learnings while spending some mindless time clouded by dust and noise.

What other parallels can you think of?

And What About Those Silent Problems in the News

Monday, April 26th, 2010

It’s been a year since my book Without Warning first came off the presses. Since then, the incidences and case study possibilities relating to what I refer to as Silent Problems (problems that are being avoided, neglected, going unnoticed or are being intentionally silenced) seems to be growing exponentially. And the stories I’m referring to are front page news. Maybe that isn’t all that surprising due to the explosive nature of silent problems when they do finally become visible - Without Warning.

Over the past couple of weeks, news items that would fall under the umbrella of being a silent problem are worth noting. Here are just a few of the high profile cases.

  1. Porn at the SEC: One would think that the Federal Governement would have an effective I.T. strategy in place to prevent the viewing of porn while at work or with government owned computer equipment. Well, the SEC proved us wrong and received another black eye for incompetence. The Washington Post states, “Dozens of Securities and Exchange Commission staff members used government computers in the past five years to access and download pornographic images, according to a summary prepared by the agency’s watchdog.”
  2. Goldman Sachs on Winning: Goldman was considered the investment banking firm you could trust. Well, all of that has changed over the past 6-months or so, and its going to get even more complicated as Goldman e-mails show how crash turned into cash.
  3. Ratings Agencies Exposed: I guess we shouldn’t be surprised that the ratings agencies also have some dirty laundry now being exposed. From the Financial Times article, Rating Agencies’ Nixon Moment, “As one Moody’s managing director wrote to his superiors in 2007, the company’s errors, made it look “either incompetent at credit analysis, or like we sold our soul to the devil for revenue, or a little bit of both…” “Jason is looking into some adjustments to his methodology that should be a benefit to your folks,” wrote a Moody’s employee to a Chase banker.The bankers seemed fully aware of the competitive pressures the rating agencies faced - and they knew how to game them.”"E-mail from Moody’s chief risk officer to Raymond McDaniel, CEO, October 2007 - ‘[N]o body gives a straight answer about anything around here . . . how about we come out with new [criteria] or a new stress and actually have clear cut parameters on what the hell we are supposed to do.”

The list could go on including stories about the Catholic Church, Toyota and others. However the storyline is the same. A problem is avoided because it is too costly, potentially too damaging or simply too time consuming to solve. Over time, the problem grosw in size and magnitude, and jumping off the treadmill is too costly. And just like a volcano, when it blows the impact is devastating, extremely disruptive and costly. Such is the case of silent problems in the real world.

Keith Wendell, the new CEO at Harley Davidson puts it in perspective when talking about the tough decisions he had to make at the firm. “There is not one of us who wakes up in the morning and says, ‘Wow, this is another opportunity to ruin someone’s life,’ ” Wandell said. “. . .  But you cannot turn your head and look the other way when there are issues that are going to ruin the company. I wish we could be totally clear about that.”

Oren Harari - A Tribute

Wednesday, April 21st, 2010

I was introduced to Oren Harari about 5-years ago at a Vistage Conference being held in DC. Oren was the keynote speaker for a noon luncheon, and one I remember to this day. Oren being about 6′ 5″ or so and a mere 170 lb. or so was dynamic and energetic. I remember Oren pacing back and forth across the stage telling one story after the next - it was memorable.

Since that day, I’ve followed Oren on his blog and read a couple of his books. He was a great thinker! A couple days ago I learned that Oren died. I’m sad, we lost a great thinker that had more to give. However, I’m not going to write about Oren’s accomplishments, but rather, his next to last blog. You see, thought leaders are always studying and thinking about the system, even when they’re part of the system. On December 17th, Oren wrote his next to last blog on his site, it was titled, What Cancer Survivors Can Teach Entrepreneurs. I thought at the time, this is a unique perspective about the great game of business. What I didn’t realize at the time was that Oren was a patient in the system. He was writing not as a researcher, but rather a patient. It appears he was destined to not allow a bad situation emerge without a few good learnings. Here are few take aways from that blog entry.

Glioblastoma multiforme (GBM). GBM is the most common and aggressive type of primary brain tumor in humans… Make no mistake, GBM is a virulent killer. The statistics are pretty horrific. Only 10% of people who get diagnosed with it even survive until the second year, and only 1% survive 5 years.

And yet….And yet…. There is still cheer for this holiday season. There are lots of individuals with GBM who not only survive, but they go on to lead long, healthy, happy productive lives. What’s their secret? And how does that secret help an entrepreneur or leader of a start-up business?

Well, I did a little bit of investigation on this subject and came up with an interesting conclusion that may surprise you. It did me.
What the GBM survivors do is seemingly ignore the devastating aggregate data on the disease that’ is available throughout the Web. They’re not ignorant of the disease they have: of course,they research it. They know what they are up against, but they concentrate daily only on the specific data they need to succeed in their own unique personal journey.

Okay, so back to the title of this blog—what does all this have to do with entrepreneurialism?

Quite a bit, actually.

My research over the past couple decades has demonstrated that many successful entrepreneurs would never have launched their businesses in the first place (nor worked at a frenetic daily 24/7 pace) if they had dwelled on the overwhelming challenges facing them in the marketplace, or even within their own organizations.. That is one reason that entrepreneurs are slightly insane to begin with.

Optimism on its own can be catastrophic: witness the irrational rise and inevitable blow-ups of the Internet and housing bubbles over the past decade. No, what I am talking about is more than optimism. It is unyielding focus, concentration, determination, a vision of clear goals, and plain unyielding persistence, , one day at a time, regardless of the external views that you are a damn fool for venturing into the shark-infested waters in the first place. Optimism is the consequence of this process, not the instigator.

 By definition entrepreneurs are separated from the traits and behaviors that proliferate among those in the “normal” population. Let’s remember: Deviant monomania in goals and in executions is what drives significant improvements in medicine, business and national economies.

Suggestion: put a cancer survivor on your board of directors.

When I read this post from Oren, it gives me goose bumps. And never once in his post does he give us the insight or inclination that he is a part of the system. And despite the situation, Oren had a lesson to teach. Life is short, so never overlook a teachable moment. It may be your last and most memorable lesson.

Thank you Oren, I will miss you.

Stanford & Madoff - SEC Treated Them Equally

Monday, April 19th, 2010

The SEC just came out with their report regarding Allen Stanford’s Ponzi Scheme. And guess what, it mirrors that of Bernard Madoff’s encounters with the SEC. In each case, the SEC acted like blundering idiots.  It makes one wonder if the SEC didn’t order their investigative license from an online diploma university for the price of $14.95. Because what has surfaced over the past couple of years reveals, the SEC has been incompetent on some of these matters!

As reported by the Wall Street Journal, The report (The SEC releashed a report on Friday) lays out a series of missteps by the SEC ignoring red flags being raised by the examiners in its Fort Worth office, who were “aware since 1997 that [Stanford] was likely operating a Ponzi scheme.” In four separate instances in 1997, 1998, 2002 and 2004, examiners concluded that Stanford’s businesses were either a Ponzi scheme “or a similar fraudulent scheme.” “The only significant difference in the Examination group’s findings over the years was that the potential fraud grew exponentially, from $250 million to $1.5 billion,” the report said.

In my entry, Blinded By A Dim Light earlier this year regarding Bernard Madoff, I state, How long does it take to catch a Ponzi scheme operator? Well, according to the report released yesterday titled “Investigation of Failure of the SEC to Uncover Bernard Madoff’s Ponzi Scheme,” 16 years!!! And that’s 16years from from the date the first red flags were raised about Bernard Madoff.  During those 16 years, the SEC opened five inquiries, and hundreds of red flags were raised.

The truth around stories like Madoff, Stanford and others scare me. And they should scare you too. They reveal that broad swaths of government are likely totally incompetent. Rules and regulations don’t matter. The leadership of these institutions are suspect. And most important, we, the American citizens and the US Economy is taking a hit due to these lapses. Ponzi schemes will always exist, how and when we shut them down determines the true cost of them. Here, we have failed. Madoff and Stanford were allowed to exist for years after the first signs of Ponzi started to surface.

Yes, these were silent problems that resulted into Without Warning events of immense magnitude.

Toyota, we’re watching you…

Wednesday, April 14th, 2010

What a difference 6-months can make in corporate positioning when someone knows everyone is watching you. Such appears to be the case surrounding Toyota. Six months ago, Toyota took a position of denial, avoidance and stonewalling when it came to quality issues relating to unintended acceleration. Since then, 8.5 million autos have been recalled. Toyota sales are being catapulted with hefty incentives that were unheard of a year ago. And Toyota is beginning to show some humility over the sitation.

What isn’t pretty however is the ongoing investigation into Toyota’s past. Now that the 100+ lawsuits have been rolled up into a single class action suit, much of Toyota’s dirty laundry will begin to surface. And from initial reports, a story that reveals a veil of secrecy and deception will unfold. For instance, the AP recently looked into Toyota’s evasive and deceptive legal tactics it has historically pursued when involved in a lawsuit.  The story states:

Toyota has routinely engaged in questionable, evasive and deceptive legal tactics when sued, frequently claiming it does not have information it is required to turn over and sometimes even ignoring court orders to produce key documents, an Associated Press investigation shows.

In a review of lawsuits filed around the country involving a wide range of complaints — not just the sudden acceleration problems that have led to millions of Toyotas being recalled — the automaker has hidden the existence of tests that would be harmful to its legal position and claimed key material was difficult to get at its headquarters in Japan. It has withheld potentially damaging documents and refused to release data stored electronically in its vehicles.

However today, I’m begining to wonder if Toyota is truly ready to change its ways. The reason being, Toyota knows everyone is watching. And if they pursue questionable legal tactics, they know they could be called out on the carpet in every major news agency around the world. In essence, Toyota’s past is now their enemy, not their friend. No longer will they receive any “get out of jail cards.” Today, I believe everyone looks at Toyota with an eye of admoration and an eye questioning their trustworthiness. For instance yesterday, Toyota had one of those “what should we do moments.” Toyota halted sales of its Lexus GX460 after Consumer Reports issued a “Don’t Buy” status on the vehicle. Would Toyota have acted similarly a year ago in a similar sitation? My guess is, the outcome would have much different. So I have to believe that Toyota’s strategy is changing as we speak.

Today, Toyota’s Silent Problems of yesterday (the problems Toyota has been avoiding, neglecting and intentionally silencing) are exerting a tremendous force on the company and the organization. These legal and quality issues will continue to be a major distraction, and will impact everything from employee turnover, to productivity, to profitability. Toyota continues to be a test case for the ideas in unleashed in my book, Without Warning.

Turnovers - The Curse of Business

Monday, April 12th, 2010

In the last Blog titled Second Chance Points, I present how great companies are given “second chances” if and when they mess up.  I state,

“when you’re given a second chance, you have the luxury of being able to learn from your mistakes. When you aren’t offered a second chance, you die by your mistakes. This is why companies must fight their way to earn the right to be given a second chance”

If I work with a business, a considerable amount of time and “management think” is devoted to positioning the team for second chance points. It is what many people might refer to as “staying power.” Now a second, an equally important part of the equation. This is turnovers and points following a turnover. In basketball, great defensive teams position themselves to create turnovers, and subsequently score off turnovers. An equally important phenomenon occurs in business. Adam Hartung over at The Phoenix Principal puts it this way.

“I want you to dramatically cut the time you talk to and listen to customers - and invest that investigating competitors… We need to spend a LOT MORE time focused on competition - figuring out how to ruin their day while developing fringe opportunities that change the marketplace and drive growth!”

Adam Hartung is talking about the importance of and how a team can position themselves to create turnovers and score points off them. When we understand our competitors and their customers, we intimately know where they’re vulnerable and how to create turnovers. A turnover could be:

  • Securing a new account when a competitor fails to deliver.
  • Hiring a disgruntled employee from a competitor that fufills a needed skill set.
  • Offering a complete solution to a marketplace that had been previously filled with products.

Why are Second Chance Points and Points off Turnovers such an important concept to understand?

Momentum!

Now back to our basketball analogy. Clark Kellogg in his commentary from the NCAA March Madness tournament noted that when teams had a positive (relative to their competitor) score from second chance points and points off turnovers that they are more likely to win the game. Not surprisingly, a similar scenario happens in the business world every day. Companies that receive second chance points and score points following turnovers are more likely to grow and prosper. Companies achieve this by leveraging the talents of their organization and exploiting their competitors weaknesses. When this occurs, a dynamic shift in the marketplace begins to occur. Slowly at first but over time the extra points begin to add up.

This is why second chance points and points off turnovers are important in basketball and business.

Second Chance Points

Wednesday, April 7th, 2010

I’ve been intrigued with the David vs. Goliath story that unfolded over the past month, aka Butler vs. Duke in the NCAA Basketball Tournament. It’s been a story few could have imagined, and am certain will be a movie in the future. It rates right up there with Herb Brooks and the 1980 Olympics, where the US Men’s hockey team upset the highly favored Russian team, and eventually took Gold. Despite the phenomenal storyline, there is an integral business and leadership lesson that lies in each of these stories. This being “Second Chance Points.”

CBS analyst and commentator Clark Kellogg in his coverage of the Road to March Madness introduced me to the importance of Second Chance Points and Points off Turnovers (Part 2). In basketball, second chance points occur when there is a missed shot and the  team on offense gets the rebound or recovers the ball following a missed shot and scores. If a team is aggressive, smart and talented, they get more second chance opportunities and second chance points than the opposition.  How does this relate to business success or leadership?

Nobody bats a thousand every day. And from time-to-time, even the most disciplined businesses and leaders mess up. An order was incorrectly shipped. A client sales call didn’t go smoothly. A deadline was missed. A product recall is initiated. An employee didn’t follow through on a commitment they made. If you’re a competitor, you realize the potential for picking up new business increases exponentially when the competition messes up. However, on occassion good companies get a second chance - great companies almost always get a second chance. They get a second chance because they have developed a deep relationship with their customers. In essence, the company’s value proposition is always greater than the product or service they sell. And because the value proposition is high, they are given a second chance. And if they leverage their second chance opportunity, they’re even able to score points off of the initial miss. Think of these contrasting companies and second chance points. Which companies have been able to leverage second chance opportunities?

Southwest Airlines vs. Delta, American or Spirit Airlines
Apple vs. Microsoft
Google vs. AOL or Yahoo
Netflix vs. BlockBuster

I’d suggest that Southwest, Apple, Google and Netflix are positioned to leverage Second Chance Points. Because when you’re given a second chance, you have the luxury of being able to learn from your mistakes. When you aren’t offered a second chance, you die by your mistakes. This is why companies must fight their way to earn the right to be given a second chance.

So what do organizations need to do to position themselves for Second Chance Opportunities and Second Chance Points?

  1. Build deep relationships with customers, employees, and suppliers.
  2. Remain true to the Vision and Values of the organization.
  3. Acknowledge missed opportunities, fix them and learn from them.
  4. Celebrate Second Chance Points when they occur.
  5. Never take for granted that you will be offered a second chance.

Second Chance Points are huge strategic advantage when you’ve earned them, because it makes it more difficult for competitors to displace you. In the next blog, we will discuss turnovers and points off turnovers - stay tuned.

Rationalization - The Ultimate Defense

Monday, April 5th, 2010

Rationalization. We see it every day. Some are more explicit and compelling than others. And when we see it or hear it, we should take a quick look at the BS meter, and see how high did the needle actually go. A quote from the 1983 movie, The Big Chill sets context and bar for rationalization. The dialogue between Michael and Sam goes:

Michael: I don’t know anyone who could get through the day without two or three juicy rationalizations. They’re more important than sex.
Sam Weber: Ah, come on. Nothing’s more important than sex.
Michael: Oh yeah? Ever gone a week without a rationalization?

Well, rationalization is utilized dail by some of the most significant and important players in the nation, and by you an me. It was utilized as part of the health care debate. It was utilized in the bailing out of the banks. And it will be utilized in the courtrooms. For instance, the CEO of Lehman Brothers, Dick Fuld is taking such a stance. This is from the Valukas Report, a 2200 page document attempting to uncover the truth about Lehman’s demise.

Valukas deems Richard Fuld (Lehman chairman and chief executive officer) “at least grossly negligent” in his role overseeing Lehman.  Fuld’s lawyer said my client “did not know what those transactions were — he didn’t structure or negotiate them, nor was he aware of their accounting treatment.”   Although elsewhere in the report there is discussion of  emails Fuld received with documents concerning the transactions,  Fuld’s attorney came up with what will be the #1 excuse for all CEOs going forward:  Fuld “did not use a computer” and “he cannot open attachments on his BlackBerry”. 

Rationalization at times is the ultimate defense. It explains nothing and it explains everything. As Tom Foster states, “Sometimes the explanation for the problem tells you more about the explainer that it does about the problem.”

And here, Rationalization often is King.

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