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Posts Tagged ‘Success & Failure’

If Cheap Becomes Chic

Thursday, March 5th, 2009

This recession is different.  In recessions past, products and services positioned for the weathly were generally considered “recession proof”.  However this time around, the wealthy are also suffering.  Today, such industry stalwarts from Rolls Royce to Tiffany are experiencing a significant downtick in demand.   Yes, this is a Without Warning Event of significant magnitude.

What’s underway?

Obviously, significant quantities of wealth were wiped out by schemes like Madoff and Stanford.  Next, the financial sector, home to some of the best paid jobs in the world, has been hit hard, with well over 200,000 jobs lost.  Third and maybe most important, stocks have lost over 50% of their value, most of that within the last 6-months.  When you add these with other factors like housing into the equation,  it’s not surprising that the wealthy are also feeling the pain.

What does this mean in the bigger picture?

The question I’m asking today is whether this is a short term event, or a long term trend.  Is this a crucible moment, similar to the Great Depression, where consumers lose their appetite for the luxurious and retain their newfound mantra for the frugal?  Or is this a brief downtrend, a place where individuals will simply resume where the left off once the financial crisis subsides and economies regain their footing. 

Your thoughts…

Failure DENIED

Thursday, February 26th, 2009

It’s almost been a year since Bear Stearns hit their speed bump head on.  With the thoughtful oversight of the Federal Government, it was brokered, and the entity saved.  Then along came AIG, CitiGroup, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and others.  The only one allowed to fail was Lehman Brothers, which most believe was a huge mistake.  Today, more and more companies are bellying up to the “too big/too important to fail” trough.

Is this a trend?

One thing we must realize in this unfolding story is the importance of the media and PR.  It shapes  perception, policy and now the economy.  Yes, the economic stimulus is analagous to Willie Sutton’s famous response to the question why he robbed banks.  Sutton’s said, “Because that’s where the money is.”  Today we realize the banks no longer have the long arm on the money supply, its the Federal Governement.”  And if your business or industry is challenged in the current economic environment, you need to navigate your way to where the money is, a.k.a. the Federal Government.  But here is where this big pot gets really dicey.  You need to talk their language.  What is that language? It’s simple.

  1.  Jobs - save them regardless of the price
  2. National Security - energy, defense…
  3. Too big to fail

So as you scour vaious media, you’ll begin to see how companies are positioning for bailout and stimulus funding.  But more importantly, in too many instances the government will play an evolutionary role with some stamped, “Failure DENIED” on the paperwork.

Success, Risk and Failure

Saturday, February 21st, 2009

The economic crisis is cascascading across geographical boundaries, and across organizations and their core competencies.  Right now, a heads down, do not fail attitudue is becoming pervasive.  Is this a silent problem?  Is this prescription worse than the disease?  Will our ability to survive to tomorrow inhibit our ability to survive into the future? 

Unfortunately when it comes to innovation, a direct link between risk, failure and success coexists.  One might even say, a codependency between them is present.  Here is a video from Honda worth watching.  It illustrates that out of the shadows of adversity, success often triumphs in ways we never thought possible.

 

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